http://197.159.135.214/jspui/handle/123456789/31 2026-09-17T23:22:50Z 2026-09-17T23:22:50Z Shari, Babajide E. Yacouba, Moumouni Olayinka, Ohunakin S. Madougou, Saidou Blechinger, Philipp Nwankwo, Nnenna C. Madindwa, Mashinini Aladesanmi, Victor http://197.159.135.214/jspui/handle/123456789/1365 2026-09-17T14:51:34Z 2025-11-28T00:00:00Z

Open-source tools for modelling energy transitions paradigm in developing countries: a compatibility assessment study Shari, Babajide E.; Yacouba, Moumouni; Olayinka, Ohunakin S.; Madougou, Saidou; Blechinger, Philipp; Nwankwo, Nnenna C.; Madindwa, Mashinini; Aladesanmi, Victor Simulation models have provided reliable simulation pathways for planning the Global and national energy transition. While simulation tools have gained prominence in providing transition insights to modelling the energy paradigm of developed countries, their developing country counterparts have yet to gain a clear transition pathway. This could be due to the cost of commercial tools, technical know-how, and the complex attributes and underdevelopment of developing countries’ energy systems transition paradigm. Open-source energy simulation modelling tools (OsEMT) could help developing countries gain reliable insight and understand their modern energy transition paradigm and mitigate modelling bottlenecks posed by proprietary modelling tools. The current study aims to review open-source energy models suitable for emerging economies and conduct a compatibility assessment of OsEMT for modelling the energy transitions of Developing Countries. To do this, a review of 11 OsEMT was carried out based on information and secondary data from the applications of the models and how they have captured and obtained modelling insights about 33 thematic attributes of developing countries’ energy systems. A compatibility and suitability assessments were conducted for the investigation through a weighted scoring matrix and ranking. Results showed that most open-source energy models have been effectively and successfully applied to model the energy transition paradigm of developed countries. However, a few open-source models have ranked higher and are suitable for developing countries. OSeMOSYS, OEMOF and PyPSA were among the most compatible and suitable OsEMT for gaining reliable insights and modelling developing countries’ energy transition pathways, although OSeMOSYS is ranked highest. Recommendations for further research and holistic support for open-source energy modelling tools were provided. A publication submitted to the West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use and the Université Abdou Moumouni, Niger in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree in Climate Change and Energy

2025-11-28T00:00:00Z Shari, Babajide Epe Dioha, Michael O. Abraham-Dukuma, Magnus C. Sobanke, Victor O. Emodi, Nnaemeka V. http://197.159.135.214/jspui/handle/123456789/1364 2026-09-17T13:42:33Z 2022-02-16T00:00:00Z

Clean cooking energy transition in Nigeria: Policy implications for Developing countries Shari, Babajide Epe; Dioha, Michael O.; Abraham-Dukuma, Magnus C.; Sobanke, Victor O.; Emodi, Nnaemeka V. Lack of access to clean cooking energy systems negatively affects the health and welfare of millions of people in developing countries. Different factors such as household income, household size, fuel price, and information spread have been identified as barriers to the widespread uptake of clean cooking systems. However, analyses exploring the dynamic influences of these factors towards accelerating clean cooking from the long-term perspective are limited. Here, we employ a system dynamics modelling framework to simulate how various strategies could affect the adoption of clean cooking systems in Nigeria over time. Our results reveal that clean cooking adoption is a fluctuating process, and the trends present a non-linear behaviour. We found that the adoption of clean cooking energy systems would occur faster early in the simulating year among urban households than in rural households. The results indicate that, at low prices of liquefied petroleum gas, many rural households will switch to clean cookstoves with higher adoption rates than consumers in urban households. Additionally, results from baseline scenario analysis revealed that, without significant policy interventions, not all households would switch to clean cooking. Our analysis further indicates that households with fewer members tend to transition quicker to clean cooking options than larger households. The impact of clean cooking due to communication among households would be more significant among rural households than among urban households. While the model results are perceptive, we emphasise that potent policies are needed to accelerate the diffusion and adoption of clean cooking energy systems in Nigeria and other African countries. A publication submitted to the West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use and the Université Abdou Moumouni, Niger in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree in Climate Change and Energy

2022-02-16T00:00:00Z Shari, Babajide E. Moumouni, Yacouba Ohunakin, Olayinka S. Blechinger, Philipp Madougou, Saidou Adamou, Rabani http://197.159.135.214/jspui/handle/123456789/1363 2026-09-17T12:42:57Z 2024-05-22T00:00:00Z

Exploring the role of green hydrogen for distributed energy access planning towards net‑zero emissions in Nigeria Shari, Babajide E.; Moumouni, Yacouba; Ohunakin, Olayinka S.; Blechinger, Philipp; Madougou, Saidou; Adamou, Rabani Providing sustainable, affordable, and reliable electricity through low-carbon energy development in the Nigerian energy sector is fundamental to ensuring energy security. Currently, efforts to harness the potential of renewable energy, to provide universal electricity access for all have not translated into significant economic development in Nigeria. Investment in green hydrogen could strengthen Nigeria’s net-zero transition plan (NETP) and achieve sustainable energy access. The study explored the role of green hydrogen among five Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos), from three geopolitical zones in Nigeria—North West, North Central, and North East. A bottom-up optimization linear programming methodology based on an open energy modelling framework (OEMOF) was used as the modelling paradigm. Secondary data mined from the Nigeria Energy Commission, Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission, NECAL 2050 report and international reports, and 2020 was used as a reference year to benchmark the model. The basic characteristics of the generation of electricity from green hydrogen, fuel cells, electrolyzers, and hydrogen storage, among other existing generation plants, were modelled till 2060 using modelled daily data obtained from Toktarova et al. (Electrical Power and Energy Systems 111:160–181, 2019). Outcomes from benchmarking led to two planning scenarios; these investigated possible insights that explored green hydrogen in Nigeria. Results showed that an integrated distributed approach would enhance harnessing green hydrogen in Nigeria, that is, electricity distribution among the DisCos. The study also revealed the following (1) the levelized cost of electricity could drop by about 8%, so also the cost of the investment; (2) access to electricity showed an improvement compared to the base year; and (3) emissions were cut in the power sector. To attain sustainable NETP with green hydrogen, the study recommends that a distributed generation approach among DisCos would support the national net-zero transition plan. A publication submitted to the West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use and the Université Abdou Moumouni, Niger in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree in Climate Change and Energy

2024-05-22T00:00:00Z Odou, Oluwarotimi Delano Thierry Ursula, Heidi Heinrichs Adamou, Rabani Godjo, Thierry Moussa, Mounkaila Saley http://197.159.135.214/jspui/handle/123456789/1362 2026-09-17T12:26:13Z 2023-02-28T00:00:00Z

Potential changes in cooling degree day under different global warming levels and shared socioeconomic pathways in West Africa Odou, Oluwarotimi Delano Thierry; Ursula, Heidi Heinrichs; Adamou, Rabani; Godjo, Thierry; Moussa, Mounkaila Saley Increasing levels of climatic warming are expected to affect the global development of energy consumption. The cooling degree day (CDD) is one of the climate-driven indices that captures the impact of climate on energy demand. However, little is known about the spatiotemporal trends of CDD in relation to a changing climate and economy in West Africa and its main implications. Hence, in order to analyze how energy demand could evolve, this study aims to assess the changes in CDD under 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 ◦C global warming levels (GWLs), with and without population exposure and trends under the two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for West Africa. A climate-reflective base temperature (T-base) is used and was determined using a piecewise linear regression method. Seasonal electricity consumption was derived using a decomposition feature. An ensemble of seven Global Climate Models (GCMs) were used for the future temperature projections. The future population was based on shared socioeconomic pathway outputs. Based on the analysis, the reported average T-base for the West African region is 24 ◦C. An increasing CDD trend was identified in all of the RCP scenarios, but is more pronounced in RCP8.5. RCP8.5 departs from the mean historical period of approximately 20% by 2100 with the standardized value. The same trend is observed under different GWLs as the warming level increased and was most striking in the Sahelian zone. Population exposure to CDD (labelled CDDP) increases with warming levels, but is more pronounced in highly agglomerated areas. The CDDP index best captures the spatial representation of areas with high cooling demand potential with respect to the demographic distribution. This study can serve to inform better energy demand assessment scenarios and supply planning against the backdrop of changing climate conditions in West Africa. A publication submitted to the West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use and the Université Abdou Moumouni, Niger in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Degree in Climate Change and Energy

2023-02-28T00:00:00Z