Toward understanding land use land cover changes and their effects on land surface temperature in yam production area, Côte d’Ivoire, Gontougo Region, using remote sensing and machine learning tools (Google Earth Engine)

Abstract

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes are one of the main factors contributing to ecosystem degradation and global climate change. This study used the Gontougo Region as a study area, which is fast changing in land occupation and most vulnerable to climate change. The machine learning (ML) method through Google Earth Engine (GEE) is a widely used technique for the spatiotemporal evaluation of LULC changes and their effects on land surface temperature (LST). Using Landsat 8 OLI and TIRS images from 2015 to 2022, we analyzed vegetation cover using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and computed LST. Their correlation was significant, and the Pearson correlation (r) was negative for each correlation over the year. The correspondence of the NDVI and LST reclassifications has also shown that non-vegetation land corresponds to very high temperatures (34.33°C–45.22°C in 2015 and 34.26°C–45.81°C in 2022) and that high vegetation land corresponds to low temperatures (17.33°C–28.77°C in 2015 and 16.53 29.11°C in 2022). Moreover, using a random forest algorithm (RFA) and Sentinel-2 images for 2015 and 2022, we obtained six LULC classes: bareland and settlement, forest, waterbody, savannah, annual crops, and perennial crops. The overall accuracy (OA) of each LULC map was 93.77% and 96.01%, respectively. Similarly, the kappa was 0.87 in 2015 and 0.92 in 2022. The LULC classes forest and annual crops lost 48.13% and 65.14%, respectively, of their areas for the benefit of perennial crops from 2015 to 2022. The correlation between LULC and LST showed that the forest class registered the low mean temperature (28.69°C in 2015 and 28.46°C in 2022), and the bareland/settlement registered the highest mean temperature (35.18°C in 2015 and 35.41°C in 2022). The results show that high-resolution images can be used for monitoring biophysical parameters in vegetation and surface temperature and showed benefits for evaluating food security.